Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
51.81% ( 0) | 23.53% ( -0) | 24.66% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.01) | 44.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.01) | 67.13% ( -0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.7% ( 0) | 17.3% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.35% ( 0.01) | 47.65% ( -0.01) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( 0) | 32.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.48% ( 0.01) | 68.52% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.81% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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