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Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Maidenhead United

Rochdale
1 - 0
Maidenhead

Rodney (38')
Keohane (35'), Gordon (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Rochdale and Maidenhead United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Maidenhead United

Rochdale are carrying good momentum into this match and seem to have found some form in front of goal lately, scoring two or more goals in each of their last three games. Maidenhead's away record has been very poor over the last couple of months, and we feel that they will suffer a third consecutive defeat on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.

Result
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
51.81% (0.0020000000000024 0) 23.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 24.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)44.77% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.81%
    Maidenhead United 24.66%
    Draw 23.52%
RochdaleDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.66%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Maidenhead

Rochdale
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Maidenhead United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Maidenhead
2-2
Rochdale
Smith (60'), Zimba (84')
De Havilland (66'), Asare (70'), Pettit (90+7')
Mitchell (29'), Sinclair (86')
Oduroh (90+8'), Rodney (90+2'), Keohane (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165


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