Dundalk

2 - 1

Drogheda

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.