Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Drogheda United in this match.