League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 10
Apr 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oriel Park
Dundalk2 - 2Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Dundalk
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-1 Bohemians
Monday, April 10 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, April 10 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Derry City |
29.21% ( 0.74) | 26.7% ( -0.07) | 44.09% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.22% ( 0.62) | 54.78% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.91% ( 0.51) | 76.09% ( -0.51) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.24% ( 0.89) | 33.76% ( -0.89) |