League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
UCD0 - 4Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cork City 4-0 UCD
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-2 Derry
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.74%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
15.17% ( -1.18) | 22.82% ( -0.47) | 62.02% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
