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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 35
Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
University College Dublin

Finn Harps
1 - 3
UCD

Tourish (28')
Connolly (53'), Boyle (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dignam (30'), Lonergan (74', 79' pen.)
Todd (82'), Moore (87')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 UCD
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Finn HarpsDrawUniversity College Dublin
50.85% (-0.234 -0.23) 25.77% (0.136 0.14) 23.38% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-0.278 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (-0.421 -0.42)55.01% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.347 -0.35)76.28% (0.34700000000001 0.35)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.273 -0.27)21.67% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (-0.419 -0.42)54.81% (0.418 0.42)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)38.81% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-0.134 -0.13)75.54% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Finn Harps 50.85%
    University College Dublin 23.38%
    Draw 25.76%
Finn HarpsDrawUniversity College Dublin
1-0 @ 12.86% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.85%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 23.38%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
2-1
Finn Harps
Higgins (21'), Caffrey (58')
Keane (17'), Healy (45+1'), Keaney (49'), Ryan (90+2'), Brennan (90+3')
Keane (52')
Mihaljevic (18' pen.)
Slevin (30'), Tourish (38'), Donelon (74'), Connolly (90+2')
May 13, 2022 8pm
Feb 25, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
0-0
Finn Harps

Keaney (4'), Brennan (54'), Whelan (72')

Boyle (45+1'), Donelon (47'), McGinley (74'), Connolly (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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