MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:38:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
Dundalk

Finn Harps
1 - 2
Dundalk

Jones (86')
Siaj (12'), Rainey (32'), Duncan (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Macarai (18'), Slevin (43' og.)
Martin (89')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finn Harps

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 St Patrick's
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Finn HarpsDrawDundalk
23.73% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.21% (0.012 0.01) 50.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)56.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76%39.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.95%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)22.58% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)56.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Finn Harps 23.73%
    Dundalk 50.05%
    Draw 26.21%
Finn HarpsDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 23.73%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.05%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
3-0
Finn Harps
Leahy (4'), Ward (7'), Bradley (36')
Leahy (87')

Donelon (39'), Boyle (45')
May 23, 2022 8pm
Finn Harps
0-1
Dundalk

Devers (6'), Boyle (23'), Tourish (26'), (45+3')
Kelly (54')
(13'), (66')
Feb 28, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
3-0
Finn Harps
Bradley (44', 67'), Bone (46')
Williams (36')

Connolly (67'), Rainey (80')
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Finn Harps
2-2
Dundalk
Owolabi (19', 69')
Boyd (28'), McNamee (81'), Boyle (84'), Connolly (90')
Duffy (61'), Hoban (63' pen.)
Sloggett (34'), Dummigan (65')
Jul 17, 2021 4pm
Dundalk
1-0
Finn Harps
McMillan (33')

Webster (7')
rhs 2.0
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