League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
Finn Harps1 - 2Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 St Patrick's
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
Result | ||
Finn Harps | Draw | Dundalk |
23.73% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( 0.01) | 50.06% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( -0.03) | 56.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.62% ( -0.02) | 77.38% ( 0.02) |
Finn Harps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.76% | 39.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.05% ( -0) | 75.95% |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% ( -0.03) | 22.58% ( 0.03) |