Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.