Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.