League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 32
Oct 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry3 - 0Finn Harps
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Finn Harps.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Derry
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
49
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-1 Shelbourne
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 79.89%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 6.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 1-0 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | Finn Harps |
79.89% ( -0) | 13.86% ( -0.01) | 6.25% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 39.31% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.15% ( 0.13) | 40.85% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.76% ( 0.13) | 63.24% ( -0.13) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.85% ( 0.03) | 8.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.43% ( 0.07) | 28.57% ( -0.07) |
Finn Harps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.79% ( 0.14) | 57.21% ( -0.14) |