League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Aug 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Shelbourne0 - 1Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Bohemians | 26 | 0 | 33 |
7 | Shelbourne | 25 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Drogheda United | 28 | -14 | 31 |
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Derry
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dundalk | 27 | 17 | 49 |
3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 26 | 13 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
Result | ||
Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
28.99% ( 0.11) | 27.95% ( 0.15) | 43.06% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.56% ( -0.48) | 59.44% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.19% ( -0.37) | 79.81% ( 0.37) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.57% ( -0.17) | 36.42% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.79% ( -0.17) | 73.21% ( 0.17) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.64% ( -0.37) | 27.36% ( 0.36) |