Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Riga FC2 - 0Derry
Ramos (33', 76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Riga FC and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 0-2 Riga FC
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 22 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 23 | 11 | 35 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Riga FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Riga FC | Draw | Derry City |
37.05% ( -0.04) | 27.44% ( -0.02) | 35.51% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
