League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30

Sep 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
1 - 0
Bohemians

Duffy (39')
McJannett (60'), McEleney (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Varian (45+8')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Bohemians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bohemians

Last Six:

Last Game: Bohemians 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sligo Rovers	28	8	41
6	Bohemians	28	-1	36
7	Shelbourne	27	-8	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Bohemians
49.04% ( 0.31)	25.65% ( -0.05)	25.31% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 50.16% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

0.01)

53.05% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.36% (

0.01)

74.64% (

-0.01)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.14)

21.65% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.22)

54.78% (

-0.22)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01% (

-0.21)

35.98% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23% (

-0.22)

72.76% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Derry City 49.04%

Bohemians 25.31%

Draw 25.65%

Derry City	Draw	Bohemians
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.04%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.31%