League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry2 - 0St Patrick's
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cork City 1-3 Derry
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
58.11% ( -0.02) | 23.11% ( 0.01) | 18.78% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.17% ( -0.02) | 49.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.18% ( -0.02) | 71.82% ( 0.02) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.13% ( -0.02) | 16.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.11% ( -0.03) | 46.88% ( 0.03) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.4% ( 0) | 40.6% ( -0) |