League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 13
May 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
UCD Bowl
UCD0 - 2Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: UCD 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
20.33% ( 0.62) | 25.93% ( 0.09) | 53.74% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 43.87% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% ( 0.31) | 58.41% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% ( 0.25) | 79.01% ( -0.24) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0.87) | 43.86% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.99% ( 0.71) | 80.01% ( -0.71) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.17) | 21.85% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.92% ( -0.26) | 55.08% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
University College Dublin 20.33%
Dundalk 53.73%
Draw 25.93%
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 14.57% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 11.08% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.73% |
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 30
UCD
3-2
Dundalk
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
