Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.

Result
Sligo Rovers	Draw	University College Dublin
69.57% ( -1.8)	18.75% ( 1)	11.68% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 46.17% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.89% (

-2.31)

45.1% (

2.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.55% (

-2.26)

67.45% (

2.25)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19% (

-1.13)

11.8% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.97% (

-2.45)

37.02% (

2.45)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.35% (

-0.05)

47.65% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

-0.03)

82.97% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sligo Rovers 69.56%

University College Dublin 11.68%

Draw 18.75%

Sligo Rovers	Draw	University College Dublin
2-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.56%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.75%	0-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.66% Total : 11.68%