Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Patrick's Athletic in this match.