Derry

3 - 1

St Patrick's

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.