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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Botafogo logo

Aurora
1 - 1
Botafogo

Torrico (90+6')
Michelli (4'), Ballivian (51'), Rene Barboza (74')
Soria (0')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Santos (27')
da Silva (44'), Fernandez Torres (82'), Nascimento (90+3')
Nunes (5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Aurora and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aurora

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Melgar 1-1 Aurora
Thursday, February 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Botafogo

All competitions
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Aurora had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Aurora win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
AuroraDrawBotafogo
35.24% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 26.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 37.84% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)54.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.5% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Aurora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)27.71% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)63.27% (0.067 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aurora 35.24%
    Botafogo 37.84%
    Draw 26.91%
AuroraDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.84%

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