Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Aurora1 - 1Botafogo
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Aurora and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Botafogo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Aurora had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Aurora win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aurora | Draw | Botafogo |
35.24% ( 0.07) | 26.92% ( 0.01) | 37.84% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.93% ( -0.02) | 54.07% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.5% ( -0.02) | 75.5% ( 0.02) |
Aurora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( 0.03) | 29.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% ( 0.04) | 65.23% ( -0.04) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( -0.05) | 27.71% ( 0.05) |