Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Aurora1 - 0Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Aurora and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aurora win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aurora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aurora in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aurora | Draw | Melgar |
44.43% ( -0.4) | 26.37% ( 0.14) | 29.2% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
