Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Melgar
Melgar0 - 1Atletico Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Melgar and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 2-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melgar | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
53.4% ( 0.08) | 26.19% ( -0.01) | 20.4% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 43.3% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.78% ( -0.05) | 59.21% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.36% ( -0.04) | 79.63% ( 0.04) |
Melgar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.01) | 22.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.02) |
Atletico Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( -0.11) | 44.25% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( -0.09) | 80.33% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Melgar 53.4%
Atletico Nacional 20.4%
Draw 26.18%
Melgar | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
1-0 @ 14.81% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.53% 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.4% |
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Atletico Nacional
3-1
Melgar
Iberico (57')
Bordacahar (25'), Soso (67'), Orzan (68'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (82'), Deneumostier (90+1')
Bordacahar (25'), Soso (67'), Orzan (68'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (82'), Deneumostier (90+1')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-19 19:20:21
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
4 | Scotland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
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