Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella
Patronato1 - 2Atletico Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Patronato and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Patronato 3-2 Huracan
Sunday, October 23 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, October 23 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 1-1 Olimpia
Friday, March 4 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 4 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
36.19% ( -0.81) | 28.64% ( 0.32) | 35.16% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
