Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24

Oct 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
0 - 1
River Plate

Medina (27'), Castro (28'), Estigarribia (41'), Nahuel Banega (73'), Giani (89'), Altamirano (90+2')
Castro (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Borja (54')
Diaz (45'), Solari (66'), Mammana (68'), Paradela (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

All competitions

Last Game: Colon 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 5-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, October 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	River Plate
15.91% ( 0.11)	21.73% ( 0)	62.36% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.27% (

0.16)

48.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

0.15)

70.84% (

-0.15)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.53% (

0.24)

43.47% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31% (

0.2)

79.69% (

-0.19)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

0.02)

15.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.42% (

0.04)

43.58% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Patronato 15.91%

River Plate 62.35%

Draw 21.73%

Patronato	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.91%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 62.35%