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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 7, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Patronato

River Plate
5 - 0
Patronato

Palavecino (13'), Alvarez (30', 37', 41', 74')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Geminiani (58')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 10.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawPatronato
71.15%17.91%10.94%
Both teams to score 46.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63%43.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23%65.76%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.1%10.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.95%35.05%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.13%47.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.87%83.13%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 71.14%
    Patronato 10.94%
    Draw 17.91%
River PlateDrawPatronato
2-0 @ 12.81%
1-0 @ 11.56%
3-0 @ 9.47%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 5.25%
4-1 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.57%
5-0 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 71.14%
1-1 @ 8.52%
0-0 @ 5.21%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 17.91%
0-1 @ 3.84%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 10.94%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2019 9.45pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
2-0
Patronato
Borre (59', 60')
Perez (74')

Aruga (42'), Lemos (81')
Jan 27, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 16
River Plate
1-3
Patronato
Ferreira (63')
Palacios (69')
Avalos (13', 36', 54')
Carabajal (27'), Comas (90')
rhs 2.0
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