Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colon in this match.

Result
Colon	Draw	Patronato
38.03% ( -0.37)	27.8% ( -0.03)	34.18% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 48.29% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.42% (

0.19)

57.58% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.64% (

0.15)

78.36% (

-0.14)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.12)

29.29% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74% (

-0.15)

65.26% (

0.16)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

0.37)

31.7% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

0.42)

68.12% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Colon 38.02%

Patronato 34.17%

Draw 27.79%

Colon	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.02%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.17%