Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional3 - 1Melgar
FT(HT: 2-0)
Iberico (57')
Bordacahar (25'), Soso (67'), Orzan (68'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (82'), Deneumostier (90+1')
Bordacahar (25'), Soso (67'), Orzan (68'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (82'), Deneumostier (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Patronato 1-2 Atletico Nacional
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Melgar |
46.63% ( 0.11) | 27.24% ( -0.06) | 26.14% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
