Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Lugano and Gent.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 4-1 FC Zurich
Sunday, November 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, November 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Gent |
49.55% ( -0.07) | 24.05% ( 0.02) | 26.4% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.42% ( -0.08) | 45.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.1% ( -0.08) | 67.9% ( 0.07) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( -0.06) | 18.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.34% ( -0.1) | 49.65% ( 0.09) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( -0.01) | 31.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.6% ( -0.01) | 67.39% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Lugano 49.55%
Gent 26.4%
Draw 24.04%
| Lugano | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.4% |
How you voted: Lugano vs Gent
Lugano
40.0%Draw
32.0%Gent
28.0%25
