We said: Braga 2-2 Hoffenheim
Given Braga have been strong at home, it is difficult to see them succumbing to defeat on Thursday, and the hosts will feel they can target the visitors' vulnerable defence.
However, Hoffenheim will be full of confidence following their win last time out, and it would not be surprising if they managed to earn a point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.