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UEFA Conference League
Celje
Conference League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele

Celje
vs.
Jagiellonia

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Celje and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Primorje 1-3 Celje
Sunday, November 10 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Next Game: Celje vs. Koper
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Rakow
Sunday, November 10 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Next Game: Jagiellonia vs. Slask Wroclaw
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celje win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 23.52% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.55%).

Result
CeljeDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
55.06% (0.44900000000001 0.45) 21.43% (-0.316 -0.32) 23.52% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 62.21% (0.996 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.78% (1.376 1.38)36.22% (-1.371 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.66% (1.493 1.49)58.34% (-1.487 -1.49)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (0.60300000000001 0.6)13.21% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (1.201 1.2)39.94% (-1.196 -1.2)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.65700000000001 0.66)28.33% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.818 0.82)64.06% (-0.812 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Celje 55.06%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 23.52%
    Draw 21.43%
CeljeDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 4.12% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.117 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.08 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 23.52%

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