Guimaraes

3 - 1

Celje

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.