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Copa Libertadores
Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
6 - 0
Aurora

Santos (3', 52', 69', 81'), Tiquinho (15'), Savarino (45+2')
Barboza (32'), Suarez (38')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Michelli (16'), Robles (29'), Blanco (38'), Rene Barboza (54'), Alaniz (59')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Botafogo and Aurora.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aurora 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Aurora

All competitions
Last Game: Aurora 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, February 22 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 72.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.17%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawAurora
72.07% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 18.08% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 9.85% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 41.97% (0.615 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (0.583 0.58)47.2% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (0.54 0.54)69.43% (-0.544 -0.54)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.146 0.15)11.72% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.16% (0.317 0.32)36.84% (-0.321 -0.32)
Aurora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.54% (0.61799999999999 0.62)52.46% (-0.623 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.69% (0.393 0.39)86.3% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 72.04%
    Aurora 9.85%
    Draw 18.08%
BotafogoDrawAurora
2-0 @ 14.12% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 13.17% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-0 @ 10.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 72.04%
1-1 @ 8.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 6.15% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 18.08%
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 9.85%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2024 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
Aurora
1-1
Botafogo
Torrico (90+6')
Michelli (4'), Ballivian (51'), Rene Barboza (74')
Soria (0')
Santos (27')
da Silva (44'), Fernandez Torres (82'), Nascimento (90+3')
Nunes (5')
rhs 2.0
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