Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
1 - 1
Botafogo

(Botafogo win 3-2 on aggregate)

Talisson (86')
Capixaba (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Santos (76')
da Silva (20'), Marcal (44'), Fernandez Torres (45+2'), Tiquinho (80'), Janderson (90')
Suarez (51')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Bragantino and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Botafogo
49.07% ( 0.59)	26.93% ( -0.05)	24.01% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.35% (

-0.2)

58.65% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.8% (

-0.16)

79.2% (

0.16)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.98% (

0.18)

24.02% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

0.27)

58.28% (

-0.27)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.73% (

-0.62)

40.27% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.1% (

-0.56)

76.9% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 49.06%

Botafogo 24.01%

Draw 26.92%

Bragantino	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 49.06%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.01%