Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.