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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Tahuichi Aguilera

Oriente
3 - 0
Royal Pari

Suarez (65', 84'), Zazpe (90+5')
Ribera (11'), Sanchez (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Justiniano (13'), Virreira (33'), Orfano (51')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Oriente Petrolero and Royal Pari.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Oriente 3-0 Royal Pari
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Royal Pari had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Royal Pari win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oriente Petrolero would win this match.

Result
Oriente PetroleroDrawRoyal Pari
42.96%25.14%31.89%
Both teams to score 56.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71%47.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48%69.51%
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.28%
Royal Pari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93%28.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27%63.72%
Score Analysis
    Oriente Petrolero 42.96%
    Royal Pari 31.89%
    Draw 25.14%
Oriente PetroleroDrawRoyal Pari
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 9%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 10.15pm
Royal Pari
2-3
Oriente
Justiniano (28'), Alvarez (85')
Justiniano (24'), Rodriguez (66')
Caire (18'), Suarez (71'), Rojas (83')
Suarez (35'), Dorrego (37'), Paz (86')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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