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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
3 - 1
La Equidad

Borja (5'), Gonzalez (36'), Cabrera (80' pen.)
Moreno (41')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Chaverra (18')
Correa (45+1'), Motta (67'), Roman (69')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Atletico Junior and La Equidad.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Junior 3-1 La Equidad
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawLa Equidad
36.16%24.71%39.13%
Both teams to score 58.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.62%44.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.25%66.74%
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.44%
La Equidad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82%56.18%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 36.16%
    La Equidad 39.13%
    Draw 24.71%
Atletico JuniorDrawLa Equidad
2-1 @ 8.19%
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 6.03%
1-3 @ 4.26%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.13%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2022 12.30am
La Equidad
0-0
Junior

Camacho (51'), Mahecha (61'), Rivas (80'), Palacios (90+3')

Fuentes (21'), Rosero (62')
rhs 2.0
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