Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Olímpico Hermanos Ghersi Páez
Aragua1 - 2La Equidad
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Aragua and La Equidad.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Aragua win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for La Equidad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aragua | Draw | La Equidad |
| 36.2% | 23.39% | 40.4% |
| Both teams to score 63.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
