Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
La Equidad2 - 1Aragua
Colina (17'), Mario Rodriguez (54')
Fuentes (18'), Pacheco (32'), Colina (60'), Mahecha (74'), Fernando Herazo Moreno (88')
Fuentes (18'), Pacheco (32'), Colina (60'), Mahecha (74'), Fernando Herazo Moreno (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manrique (72')
Guerrero (34'), Yustiz (60'), Zapata (88')
Perez (83')
Guerrero (34'), Yustiz (60'), Zapata (88')
Perez (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between La Equidad and Aragua.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aragua win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aragua win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Equidad | Draw | Aragua |
| 35.82% | 23.21% | 40.97% |
| Both teams to score 64.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
