The stakes could not be higher for Thursday's contest, with a place in the knockout rounds on the line, and with the visitors requiring a win to make it through they could leave space in behind as they push forward, which could play into the hands of Atletico Junior who we think will edge out Union. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Union
51.79% ( 0.02)	25.39% ( -0.01)	22.82% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.39% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.91% (

0.03)

54.09% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.48% (

0.02)

75.52% (

-0.02)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

0.02)

20.9% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.37% (

0.03)

53.63% (

-0.03)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.18% (

0.01)

38.82% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

75.56% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 51.78%

Union 22.82%

Draw 25.38%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.78%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.82%