Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 1-0 (5.73%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.