Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin1 - 1Lanus
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lanus win 6-5 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 0-0 Medellin
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Independiente Medellin 1-1 Lanus (Independiente Medellin advance on penalties)
Momentum should favour the Colombians in this one, as they have been excellent at home in this tournament, and we believe they will find a way to get over the line in front of their supporters this week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Lanus |
36.48% ( 0.11) | 29.06% ( 0.13) | 34.46% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
