MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 17:56:52| >> :60:214:214:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Medellin

Defensa
1 - 1
Medellin

Ortiz (68' og.)
Fiermarin (33'), Palavecino (41'), Soto (52'), Echevarria (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muniz (22')
Muniz (10'), Manuel Orejuela (52'), Ortiz (69'), Lima (73'), Fory (79')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 3-1 Defensa
Saturday, May 11 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente Medellin
50.32% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03) 24.38% (0.012 0.01) 25.31% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.88% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)19.05% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)50.64% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.004999999999999 0)69.79% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 50.31%
    Independiente Medellin 25.31%
    Draw 24.38%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 25.31%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Medellin
2-1
Defensa
Muniz (1'), Monsalve (22')
Arias (8'), Manuel Orejuela (10'), Moreno (72'), Monsalve (77')
Palavecino (76')
Lopez (7'), Herrera (62'), Burgos (72'), Bogarin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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