MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 11:31:31| >> :60:75:75:
Medellin
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
4 - 2
Cesar Vallejo

Vasquez (12', 23' pen.), Muniz (48'), Garcia (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mena (63'), Velez (76' pen.)
Guerrero (24'), Salas (25')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Cesar Vallejo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Medellin
Friday, April 5 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 0-1 Defensa
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawCesar Vallejo
50.57% (0.108 0.11) 24.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 24.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-0.135 -0.13)50.61% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.119 -0.12)72.52% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)52.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.175 -0.17)35.32% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.182 -0.18)72.07% (0.17999999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 50.57%
    Cesar Vallejo 24.54%
    Draw 24.88%
Independiente MedellinDrawCesar Vallejo
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.57%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24.54%

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