San Lorenzo2 - 0Medellin
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 16 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
Thursday, July 13 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Independiente Medellin (San Lorenzo to win 2-0 on aggregate)
While Independiente Medellin will be looking to overturn their first-leg deficit, they take on a formidable side in San Lorenzo, who have been near impenetrable of late. Buoyed by their home crowd support, we are backing the Argentine outfit to pick up from where they dropped off last week and come out on top once again Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
59.65% ( -0.05) | 23.96% ( 0.03) | 16.39% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.05) | 56.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( -0.04) | 77.42% ( 0.04) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( -0.04) | 18.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.92% ( -0.07) | 50.08% ( 0.07) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.57% ( 0.01) | 47.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.19% ( 0.01) | 82.81% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 1-0 @ 14.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 59.64% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.52% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.39% |
