Medellin4 - 2Metropolitanos
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, April 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Metropolitanos |
56.85% ( 0.08) | 25.76% ( 0.01) | 17.38% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.99% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.91% ( -0.17) | 61.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% ( -0.13) | 81.06% ( 0.12) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.04) | 21.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.05) | 54.79% ( 0.05) |
| Metropolitanos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.05% ( -0.23) | 48.95% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.08% ( -0.17) | 83.92% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Metropolitanos |
| 1-0 @ 16.21% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.38% |
