Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 2, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin2 - 1El Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Independiente Medellin and El Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Nacional 2-2 Medellin
Wednesday, February 22 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 22 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | El Nacional |
45.56% ( 0.19) | 26.69% ( 0.24) | 27.75% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
