Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
El Nacional3 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between El Nacional and Nacional Potosi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 1-6 El Nacional
Thursday, February 9 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 9 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Nacional | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
59.81% ( -1.3) | 21.32% ( 0.7) | 18.87% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
