9 de Octubre
3 - 2
Medellin

Stephens (32', 68' pen.), Becerra (58')
Becerra (75'), Hinds (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lopez (36'), Camargo (65')
Mendez (40'), Gutierrez (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 9 de Octubre and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

9 de Octubre

Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Independiente Medellin

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that 9 de Octubre would win this match.

Result
9 de Octubre	Draw	Independiente Medellin
51.68%	26%	22.32%

Both teams to score 46.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2%

56.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26%

77.73%

9 de Octubre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.94%

22.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.6%

55.4%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14%

40.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57%

77.42%

Score Analysis

9 de Octubre 51.67%

Independiente Medellin 22.32%

Draw 26%

9 de Octubre	Draw	Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.62% 2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.68% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.07% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.24% Total : 22.32%