Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
9 de Octubre3 - 2Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 9 de Octubre and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that 9 de Octubre would win this match.
Result | ||
9 de Octubre | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
51.68% | 26% | 22.32% |
Both teams to score 46.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2% | 56.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.26% | 77.73% |
9 de Octubre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% | 22.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% | 55.4% |
Independiente Medellin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.14% | 40.85% |