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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK
 
Medellin

9 de Octubre
3 - 2
Medellin

Stephens (32', 68' pen.), Becerra (58')
Becerra (75'), Hinds (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopez (36'), Camargo (65')
Mendez (40'), Gutierrez (54')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 9 de Octubre and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that 9 de Octubre would win this match.

Result
9 de OctubreDrawIndependiente Medellin
51.68%26%22.32%
Both teams to score 46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.2%56.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26%77.73%
9 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6%55.4%
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14%40.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57%77.42%
Score Analysis
    9 de Octubre 51.67%
    Independiente Medellin 22.32%
    Draw 26%
9 de OctubreDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.07%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 22.32%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 1.30am
Medellin
2-1
9 de Octubre
Hernandez (9'), Castrillon (90+4')
Arregui (10'), Loaiza (53'), Pons (56'), Ricaurte (85'), Castrillon (90+6')
Lucas (5')
Becerra (42'), Pinos (44'), Hinds (67'), Nazareno (83'), Luna (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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