Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Guairena3 - 3Medellin
Otazu (6'), Ayala (56'), Guillermo Arboleda (65' og.)
Santacruz (30'), Salinas (52'), Aguilar (66')
Santacruz (30'), Salinas (52'), Aguilar (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Guairena and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guairena win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guairena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guairena | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
| 45.63% | 25.75% | 28.61% |
| Both teams to score 52.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
