Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Parque del Guaira
Guairena1 - 2River Plate
Gonzalez (51')
Toledo (25'), Daniel Nunez Gimenez (65'), Javier Bartomeus Viveros (73'), Manuel Parra (89')
Toledo (25'), Daniel Nunez Gimenez (65'), Javier Bartomeus Viveros (73'), Manuel Parra (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zeballos (62'), Otazu (90+1')
Gabriel Torales Castillo (33')
Gabriel Torales Castillo (33')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guairena and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guairena win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guairena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guairena | Draw | River Plate |
| 38.26% | 27.93% | 33.81% |
| Both teams to score 47.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
