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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Beira-Rio

Internacional
5 - 1
9 de Octubre

Dourado (9', 49', 75'), Peter Quinonez Ayovi (66' og.), Barreto de Oliveira (83')
Dourado (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rolando Caicedo Caicedo (11')
Manuel Chavez Quintero (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Internacional and 9 de Octubre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Internacional 2-1 9 de Octubre

Internacional have enjoyed a solid continental run and will be looking to beat Guairena to a place in the knockout stages. The Brazilian side head into Tuesday as favourites as they take on a floundering 9 de Octubre side whose last win away from home came back in November. Looking at the contrasting form between the sides and the gulf in quality in their squads, we are tipping Internacional to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for 9 de Octubre had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a 9 de Octubre win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDraw9 de Octubre
56.68% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 26% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.32% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 39.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11% (0.012 0.01)61.88% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)81.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)55.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
9 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.5% (0.032999999999994 0.03)49.5% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.69% (0.022 0.02)84.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 56.67%
    9 de Octubre 17.32%
    Draw 25.99%
InternacionalDraw9 de Octubre
1-0 @ 16.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42%
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.67%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 3.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.32%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 1.30am
9 de Octubre
2-2
Internacional
Da Luz (58', 75')
Da Luz (32'), Hinds (69'), Nazareno (87')
Mauricio (25'), Wesley (26')
Mendez (6'), Gabriel (69'), de Pena (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tuesday, June 18
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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